Bitcoin vs. Gold: A Canary in the Coal Mine? Strategist Warns of Impending Market Decline

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Bloomberg commodity strategist Mike McGlone is sounding the alarm — he believes the performance of Bitcoin compared to gold may be an early warning sign of broader trouble for U.S. stocks and other risk assets. According to him, the BTC/gold ratio is a “canary in the coal mine,” hinting at upcoming turbulence.

🔹 Falling BTC/Gold Ratio as a Warning Signal McGlone pointed out that the Bitcoin-to-gold ratio is approaching a critical level of 33x. If it fails to hold that threshold, it could signal a loss of investor confidence in riskier markets. “The weakening of Bitcoin versus gold may act as a canary in the coal mine for risk assets, creating excessive pressure to stay above the 33x level,” McGlone said in a post on X dated June 22.

🔹 Context: S&P 500 Plunge Wipes Out Trillions At the same time, McGlone reminds that the market is already shaken — the S&P 500 dropped nearly 20% in the first half of the year, erasing about $13 trillion in market capitalization — over 40% of U.S. GDP. He notes this is the largest relative GDP loss during a 20% correction in almost a century. While stocks rallied back to record highs, Bitcoin has been losing steam — especially when compared to the strengthening gold price. According to McGlone, this divergence signals a fading confidence in crypto as a high-beta speculative asset.

🔹 Is Bitcoin Losing Its "Digital Gold" Status? The excitement surrounding Bitcoin as "digital gold" is evidently fading. Investors are shifting back to traditional gold amid persistent global uncertainty — trade tensions, geopolitical unrest, and especially the escalation of conflict in the Middle East after U.S. strikes on Iranian sites. Gold has become one of the top-performing assets of the year, with inflows on track to hit a record $80 billion in 2025.

🔹 Bitcoin Enters Danger Zone Meanwhile, Bitcoin has mostly hovered above the $100,000 support zone but has briefly dipped below during recent geopolitical shocks. Analysts warn that a prolonged dip below this level could trigger a deeper correction — possibly down to $80,000. McGlone concludes with a warning: if Bitcoin doesn’t regain strength relative to gold, broader risk markets could face another wave of sell-offs. The BTC/gold ratio may indeed be the early signal of trouble ahead.

#BTC , #GOLD , #BitcoinVsGold , #CryptoTrend , #CryptoMarket

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