Jin Shi整理: The Bank of England is expected to remain cautious this week, and the pound's movement depends on the fundamentals.

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  1. Citibank: It is expected to keep interest rates unchanged and the vote is expected to be 7-2. 2. Fanon Credit: It is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, and the pound is more affected by tariffs and the US dollar. 3. ING: The Bank of England is expected to cut interest rates by a cumulative 75 basis points this year while keeping interest rates unchanged. 4. MUFG: Inflation concerns may make it more difficult to cut interest rates in the summer, as interest rates are expected to remain unchanged. 5. Bank of America: It is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, with three rate cuts in 2025 and 3.5% in 2026. 6. RBC: Expected to keep interest rates unchanged, the central bank is likely to maintain a gradual pace of rate cuts in the coming months, cutting rates three more times in 2025. 7. Bank Mellon: Expected to keep interest rates unchanged, likely to reiterate its 'cautious' stance, but the near-term focus will now turn to the fiscal plan at the end of the month. 8. TD Securities: Expected to keep interest rates unchanged and unlikely to have much impact on the pound, guidance is likely to remain unchanged, emphasizing the reliance on data, with wording pointing to continued gradual rate cuts. 9. Danske Bank: Expected to keep interest rates unchanged or possibly maintain its guidance of gradual, cautious rate cuts, the market is likely to have a muted reaction to the decision, with a total of 75bp rate cuts expected this year. 10. Barclays: It is expected to keep interest rates unchanged and future rate cuts will be gradual. The central bank is likely to keep policy guidance unchanged at its March meeting and is likely to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in May. 11. Deutsche Bank: Expected to keep interest rates unchanged, a "gradual and cautious" approach is not conducive to successive rate cuts – especially if the headline CPI rises. Four more rate cuts are expected in 2025. 12. Berenberg Bank: Expected to keep interest rates unchanged, the Bank of England may be close to ending its rate cuts, and the last rate cut window of the year will be on May 8, when the Bank Rate will fall to 4.25%.
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