The signs of a slowdown in inflation in the world's largest economy, the United States, which previously triggered a global bond rally, are facing a reality check this week. Global government bonds recorded their best monthly performance of the year, and a US inflation pressure indicator slowed for the first time in six months last week. This has encouraged the US market's expectation of an imminent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, and investors in other parts of the world also believe that their central banks have room to cut rates. Currently, market attention is turning to the UK's inflation report. Although the UK's inflation rate has slowed significantly since reaching a staggering 11.1% at the end of 2022, investors warn that the path of price declines is not smooth. For the market, this is the latest milestone on a bumpy road to determine whether the global fight against inflation is finally coming to an end. "The UK CPI data for the next week will be important, and we believe that the downward trend may be lower than many people's expectations," said Mark Dowding, CIO of RBC BlueBay Asset Management. "This may dampen the enthusiasm for interest rate cuts."