#HYPE# 6.6 Non-Farm Payroll Day Bitcoin Ether latest trend prediction analysis and trading strategy

　　Data from the U.S. Department of Labor at 20:30 on June 5 showed that initial claims for unemployment benefits rose to 247,000 in the week ended May 31, the highest in 2025 and higher than the expected 235,000. The data hints at a weaker labor market and may increase the likelihood of a Fed rate cut. We are all concerned about its impact on the Fed's policy, in the long run, the policy is constrained by inflation and employment data, the OECD expects U.S. inflation to rise to 3.9% by the end of the year, limiting the room for short-term sharp interest rate cuts, but the slowdown in the labor market may force the Fed to restart interest rate cuts in the second half of 2025, and is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in July or September. Next, we need to continue to pay attention to the non-farm payrolls report and the minutes of the Federal Reserve's June meeting, and be wary of the impact of external factors.
　　Judging from the current market trend, the daily level shows that the currency price is in a volatile downward trend recently, closing in the negative for many consecutive days, and the high point is gradually decreasing. Yesterday's K-line rebounded slightly and then fell back, forming a long upper shadow, indicating that the upper selling pressure was heavier. At the hourly level, the currency price showed short-term support near 103,000, but the overall situation still showed a low-level shock pattern, and the fluctuation range was narrow. The MACD histogram of the technical indicator hourly line continues to shrink, and the fast and slow lines are close to the zero axis but do not form an obvious golden cross or death cross signal, and the momentum is insufficient; The daily MACD fast and slow lines diverge downward, and the bears have the advantage. The hourly RSI value hovers around 45 and does not enter the overbought or oversold area, and the market sentiment is weak; The daily RSI remains below 40, showing weakness. The hourly EMA7, 30, and 120 moving averages show a bearish arrangement, and the price is subject to EMA7 pressure; The EMA7 and EMA30 EMAs on the daily line turned downward, EMA120 remained steady, and the long-term trend remained bearish.