Capital Economics: Japan's PMI supports the Bank of Japan in resuming rate hikes in October.

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Japan's latest PMI data supports Capital Economics' view that the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates sooner rather than later. Japan's composite PMI rose to a four-month high of 51.4 in June. Both the manufacturing and services PMIs edged higher in June. Capital Economics macroeconomist Abhijit Surya writes that the manufacturing output index points to a renewed acceleration in industrial production, while new export orders point to a modest increase in volumes. The services PMI is well above historical averages, in line with the sizable growth in consumer spending. All in all, the BOJ is expected to have a reason to raise rates in October, rather than early next year, as many expected. ( gold ten )

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