Chuangjin Community - Analysis on July 1, 2025

Tariffs are still a ticking time bomb... Currently, the data leans bearish... If the tariff issue is resolved better, then interest rate cuts will come faster this year. We are not yet in a widespread interest rate cut situation. With poor employment numbers, expectations for rate cuts will be adjusted timely. Focus this Thursday on non-farm payrolls...
General direction: The Bitcoin price is expected to have a deep correction this month at high levels... Do not buy long positions at high levels, especially above 108700 and 109100, where all long contracts should be abandoned. For chasing positions, consider a breakout or a pullback... For the medium to long term, it is advisable to gradually short the market...
Ethereum focuses on the metaverse, and application scenarios are shrinking... Therefore, it is very understandable that the short-term increase does not synchronize with Bitcoin.
On the day: Today, the focus is on short positions with a rise... The high-level consolidation and pullback indicate a bearish trend, and short positions can be added in batches.
Resistance levels: 2580, 2680, 109100, 110500 Support levels: 2450, 2420, 106000, 104500
Ethereum Today: In the live room, aggressively short with a 1% position at 2488, stop loss at 2510, ( suggest waiting for a breakout to make a divergence short, stop loss at the divergence point.
8 points, only do stop loss after it walks out ) take profit 2440, 2450

32440, more than 2450 long positions, no signal to enter the market yet, can wait for 2420--2410 long positions to consider, stop loss at 2400, take profit at 2485, 2495.
42485, 2495 short position, stop loss 2515, stable take profit 2500, 2450, second take profit 2380, 2360
Big Pie of the Day: ① Aggressive 1% position 107180 short in the live room, 4-hour double divergence, ② 107600, 108200 short orders… stop loss at 108500 or wait for the point to use divergence to enter and then set stop loss at the previous high +200 points… take profit at 106300, 106000, second take profit at 104500, 104700 [No aggressive current price orders without replenishment actions]
3 short line 104500, see if there's more at 104700, if not, give up.