2025.7.4 10:00 AM BTC/ETH Market Analysis

The violent rise and fall did not occur tonight, but rather a very narrow range of fluctuations, with the main players not eager to indicate direction, leaving no room for operation, especially for BTC and ETH. Therefore, the focus has been on discussions over the past two days. If BTC/ETH do not provide opportunities, the focus can shift to established mainstream coins like SOL/DOGE/LTC. HUMA last night temporarily followed BTC's consolidation, and even though today is Friday, North America's largest liquidity supply area is celebrating Independence Day, which essentially means entering the weekend early. The second attempt to reach the peak last night was not strong, giving bears confidence. At this moment, the next three to four days will enter a period of fluctuations that can be traded in both directions, and there may even be a bottoming out, with a low probability of reaching new highs. So be cautious, the pace of change is quick, and it's important to maintain a zero-sum mindset and base every step of your trading plan on solid evidence!
BTC attention
Support 104757/103055/100300
Pressure is temporarily set at 110500/112000
At this moment, BTC may surge tonight or at the latest by the weekend. However, if the momentum is insufficient, the probability of a pullback based on the 109500 level will gradually increase. This is good news for trapped shorts, so focus on the 109500-110500 range. If a significant drop signal forms in this range, the closer it gets to the upper limit of 110500, the better it is to try shorting with a small position!
ETH attention
Support 2403/2343/2285
The pressure is temporarily set at 2627-2665/2719
The only condition for breaking through the upper track at present is the demand for violent harvesting by the main force. If the main force believes that there is not enough profit incentive to sustain the breakthrough, then there will be no violent assault upwards. BTC is just sitting here; if BTC does not start a new high independent market, then the second coin can at most just make a feint to take liquidity, which is even less likely to last. Therefore, if there is a push upwards in the next few days until Monday, it might be possible to take a small position to test the waters for a short!
In terms of operation: the base positions of 105500 and 2409 can continue to be reduced by 10%, leaving only 10% of the base position. For last night's HUMA, those who have controlled their positions and have already entered can consider taking a look at the next few days to break even or make a small profit and then leave the scene to observe. When the big coin oscillates to the lower track, look for opportunities to profit!
Pay attention to the performance at key levels, determine the support and resistance levels first, and then act on the signals when approaching these levels! Do not act impulsively at the midpoint!
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