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#美加征关税# At 2:00 AM tonight, the global financial markets will focus on the Federal Reserve's release of the minutes from the June meeting. These minutes are likely to reveal the intense "hawk-dove" debate within the Fed, providing key clues for the future direction of monetary policy. Recent economic data shows that the U.S. economy presents a complex situation. While the job market remains strong, wage growth has shown signs of slowing. Inflation data is also fluctuating, with core inflation still stubbornly high in some areas, while cooling in others. This inconsistency in economic data is one of the important factors leading to divisions within the Fed. The minutes may also address differences in assessments of the economic outlook. Hawkish officials may be more optimistic about economic growth prospects, believing that even with tightening policies, the economy can still maintain stable growth; dovish officials, on the other hand, may take a more cautious stance on the economic outlook, worrying that potential risks could have a significant impact on economic growth.
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Yesterday, Trump postponed the deadline for tariffs until August 1. The delay in tariffs is not a "turning point," but merely the pause button on a "countdown." When this 30-day buffer period runs out, the shoe hanging over our heads will inevitably drop—the only difference is whether the pain will be felt by American companies or by ordinary people holding onto their wallets. The easing of trade tension led to Bitcoin remaining in a sideways phase. Over the past few days, the market has been operating within the BOLL channel and has not made a significant directional move. In last night's live session, the price of Bitcoin only dipped to around 108,000 before bouncing back up, with the low points continuously rising and the high points continuously lowering. A major trend is on the horizon. Looking at the 4-hour level, the moving averages are flat, the MACD lacks momentum, and the RSI has been oscillating below 50, indicating weakness. If it cannot break through the resistance zone of 109,000-109,500, it may have to retrace down to 108,000. If 108,000 cannot hold, it might need to seek support around 107,000.
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The Ethereum market is similar, with the price dropping from a high of 2626 to a low of 2589 before stopping and then starting to rebound, currently reaching a high of 2647. According to the current market conditions, the four-hour level shows that the market is continuously consolidating around the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with neither the bulls nor the bears breaking out of a significant range. The overall market is in a notably tense state, operating within a relatively narrow low-volatility range, and trading volume continues to show a shrinking trend. From the one-hour level, after experiencing three consecutive bearish candles, the market then shows three consecutive bullish candles in rebound, indicating a tug-of-war correction characteristic. Prices are repeatedly testing key levels, but they have not been able to gather enough momentum to achieve an effective breakthrough. Therefore, in the evening trading, we will still maintain a strategy of selling high and buying low. #Gate VIP理财送茅台# #美加征关税# #Gate xStocks 交易体验# (forward)