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The future development prospects of Ethereum have sparked widespread discussion in the industry. While surpassing Nvidia's market capitalization within ten years may be overly optimistic, in the long run, Ethereum has the potential to become the infrastructure for global digital finance.
Historically, significant technological changes and transformations of economic systems typically take 20-25 years. For example, the internet giant Amazon took nearly 25 years to reach a market capitalization of one trillion dollars; the dollar also experienced a process of about 20 years from leaving the gold standard to becoming the global pricing currency.
Ethereum, as a potential 'candidate for world currency', has a development trajectory more akin to the evolution of civilization rather than merely corporate growth. In the next decade, we may witness developments in the following areas:
1. With the expansion of DeFi, tokenization of physical assets, stablecoins, and settlement systems, Ethereum is expected to become a global new financial infrastructure, attracting more financial assets, trade, and even national settlement systems to migrate to the blockchain.
2. Ethereum may evolve into a comprehensive on-chain global finance system, combining the functions of 'dollars, VISA, and government bonds'. If 10%-20% of global assets achieve some form of 'on-chain' status in the future, Ethereum is likely to become one of the preferred networks.
3. Ethereum has a unique dual property: it has both asset attributes (such as staking rewards and DeFi collateral) and sovereign attributes (transaction fees and block space as digital land). This characteristic makes it possible to obtain a valuation model similar to 'digital government bonds'.
4. Ethereum's deflationary design is highly attractive for long-term value capture, and this characteristic may further enhance its investment value.
5. If Nvidia is considered the 'heart of the AI Silicon Valley', then Ethereum is striving to become the 'underlying constitution of global digital finance'. It is no longer just an investment asset, but is evolving towards becoming the 'credit cornerstone of the global digital economy'.
Although ten years may not be enough to achieve all these goals, Ethereum is expected to play an increasingly important role in the global digital finance sector over the next 20 to 25 years. This process requires patience and the accumulation of time, while also depending on changes in the global economic environment and policy direction.