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After analyzing the report on the performance of the Bitcoin market, I believe it is very important to pay attention to the market trends from the third quarter of 2025 to the early first quarter of 2026. Historical data shows that Bitcoin often experiences significant appreciation within 500 to 720 days after a halving. Although the current cycle is relatively flat, the possibility of an accelerated rise in the future cannot be ruled out.
At the same time, I noticed that the four-year cycle theory is being questioned. The market is undergoing structural changes, and new influencing factors may break traditional cyclical patterns. This reminds us to maintain an open attitude and closely monitor on-chain data and capital flows, rather than simply applying historical rules.
Next, I will focus on tracking large transactions and contract data to look for potential trend reversal signals. I recommend that investors consider multiple factors when making decisions and not overly rely on a single indicator or cycle theory.