Detailed analysis of GRT

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  1. General trend: Long-term trend: From the peak of 0.4948 (January 2024), GRT has declined sharply and continues in a long-term downtrend. The current price of 0.19078 is still below the MA(30) (0.24040), indicating that the downtrend has not been broken. Short-term trend: The price is fluctuating in the accumulation zone around 0.170 - 0.210, with decreasing trading volume. This is a sign of preparation for a breakout.

  1. Support and Resistance Zone: Support: 0.1704: The nearest support zone, which has been held firm in previous sessions. 0.0931: Strong support if the price continues to break the current area. Resistance: 0.2081 (MA5): The first short-term resistance that needs to be overcome to signal recovery. 0.2404 (MA30): Important resistance in the medium term, needs to be broken to confirm the reversal.

  1. Technical indicator: MA (Moving Averages): MA(5) is cutting down below MA(10), indicating that selling pressure is dominant. The price is still below the MA(30), confirming the medium-term downtrend. Trading volume: Decreasing volume indicates cautious observation by investors. If the price breaks with large volume, the trend will be more obvious. Funding Rates: The funding rate is almost 0 (0.01%), indicating that the market is balanced between the Long and Short sides, with no clear bias. Aggregated Long/Short Ratio: The ratio of 0.9533 indicates that the amount of Short (selling) is slightly higher, reflecting the market sentiment leaning towards a price decrease.

  1. Price Action factors: The price is currently consolidating between 0.1704 - 0.2081, with a narrowing range. This is a sign of preparation for a breakout. The current price structure may form a falling wedge, which is often a potential sign of a price reversal if the price breaks through the resistance.

  1. Trading strategy: Scenario 1: Breakout increase (Break resistance) If the price exceeds 0.2081 (MA5) with a large volume: Buy point: Buy when the closing price is above 0.210. Stop-loss: Placed below 0.190. Take-profit (Chốt lời): TP1: 0.240 (MA30). TP2: 0.285 (next resistance). Scenario 2: Breakdown Decrease (Support Break) If the price breaks 0.1704 with large volume: Sell point: Sell when the closing price is below 0.170. Stop-loss: Placed at 0.180. Take-profit (Take-profit): TP1: 0.150 (psychological level). TP2: 0.0931 (strong support). Scenario 3: Trading in the accumulation area (Range Trading): If the price continues to fluctuate within the range of 0.1704 - 0.2081: Buy: At the support zone 0.170 - 0.175 with bullish candle signal. Sell: At the resistance zone of 0.205 - 0.210 when there is a signal of a bearish candle. Stop loss: Place below 0.165 (when buying) or above 0.215 (when selling).

  1. Conclusion: Short-term: The price is currently consolidating, waiting for a clear breakout of the range 0.170 - 0.210 to determine the next trend. Mid-term: The trend is still declining, need to break through MA(30) (0.2404) to confirm a reversal. Long-term: If the price cannot hold at 0.1704, the long-term downtrend will continue with a target of 0.0931.
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