Altcoin Season Index Resets to 16–20 Range, Here’s Why Analysts Say Altseason 3.0 Is Near

Altcoin Season Index resets to 16–20, matching past pre-rally levels seen in 2017 and 2020.

Fractal analysis suggests a potential 250x altcoin market expansion by June 2025.

Low funding rates and rising DEX volume signal early accumulation by smart money investors.

We've waited long enough and now is finally the time. Altseason appears to be entering a new phase, with analysts identifying major structural setups and historical patterns repeating. Current sentiment, coupled with capital rotation and technical formations, points to a developing trend where altcoins may deliver high returns in the coming months.

Altcoin Season Index and Market Structure Reset

According to analysis prepared by Bitconsensus, the Altcoin Season Index has returned to its baseline range of 16–20. This level previously marked turning points in 2017 and 2020 when altcoins outperformed Bitcoin

Source: Bitcoinsensus(X)

The reset follows a period of volatility triggered by macroeconomic disruptions in mid-2024. The index’s current level mirrors previous accumulation zones, suggesting the early stages of a new altcoin cycle

At the same time, Bitcoin’s volatility is compressing, and dominance is peaking. These signals have historically preceded capital flowing into altcoins, especially during late-stage Bitcoin consolidations.

Analysts Eye Major Expansion into 2025

Crypto analyst Sensei shared a chart on X showing that the altcoin market has followed a repeating fractal pattern since 2016. The pattern shows an 80x move into 2017, a 120x move into 2021, and a potential 250x expansion expected by June 2025. The long-term trendline has remained intact through all corrections.

Source: Sensei(X)

Michaël van de Poppe, in a recent market review, noted that the second half of 2025 could offer strong conditions for altcoin performance. He stated that “many tokens are now showing higher lows and breakout retests.”

Additionally, Danny Crypton noted that June 30 could be the turning point for Altseason 3.0, echoing similar setups in past cycles. Current market metrics show low funding rates and rising DEX volume, suggesting that institutional and smart money participants are taking early positions.

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