APT Price Prediction: If it holds the key level, it is expected to reach $6.30 and $8.

Aptos (APT) recently broke through a long-term falling wedge structure, rising 8.09% to $5.19 during the day, technically confirming a trend reversal and reclaiming a key psychological level. Despite the price strengthening, CVD data still shows sellers in control, reflecting market doubts about the sustainability of the breakout. However, on-chain net inflows, DEX volume, and liquidation hotspot factors collectively provide support for the rise of APT. If long positions hold the $5 key area, the market may continue to rise to $6.30 or even $8.

Falling wedge structure breakout, reversal signal established The APT daily price has broken through a multi-month falling wedge, currently reported at $5.19, with a rise of 8.09%. This structure is typically a strong bullish reversal pattern, and the current trend has successfully turned the previous resistance area into support. If the rebound continues, the technical target levels are $6.30 and $8.00.

Selling pressure remains, CVD indicator shows capital divergence Despite the price breakout, the Spot CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) shows that sellers still dominate the market, indicating that many traders are taking profits at highs during the breakout. This divergence between price and volume can easily trigger a "false breakout" or a short-term pullback. If this trend continues, there may be an increase in volatility, and it is necessary to closely monitor changes in transaction quality.

On-chain net inflow turns positive, spot buying returns Despite the strong sell-off, on-chain data shows that APT recorded nearly $1 million in net inflow on centralized exchanges, indicating active buying in the market and a state of capital return. Historically, net inflows after key technical breakthroughs are often a positive signal for market continuation.

DEX volume increase, ecosystem activity enhancement In the past 24 hours, the volume of APT on decentralized trading platforms reached $219.7 million, with a total of $1.511 billion over the past week, reflecting a weekly increase of 16.96%. The increase in DEX activity not only reflects the real usage scenarios of users but also provides structural support for the token price.

Key liquidation zone at $5-$5.40, price may be attracted to rise The CEX liquidation heat map shows a significant concentration of short liquidations between $5.00 and $5.40. If the price breaks above these areas, it could trigger a chain liquidation, creating a "short squeeze" effect, further pushing up the price. Conversely, if the price falls below $5, it may lose short-term technical advantages and shift into a bearish adjustment.

Conclusion APT broke through the falling wedge and welcomed a technical rebound, but the CVD shows that market divergence still exists. On-chain capital inflow and DEX activity indicate that long positions still have momentum. If the price holds above $5 and continues to attract funds, it is expected to push towards $6.30 and $8.00 in the short term. Investors are advised to pay attention to transaction quality, liquidation dynamics, and the coordination of on-chain indicators to assess the continuation of the market and potential risks.

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