CryptoQuant analysts pointed out that the Bitcoin price temperature remains at 2.56, indicating a warm state with no signs of overheating. Above the four-year moving average, a bullish trend is confirmed, but caution is needed for the usual pullback risk. If BP exceeds 3.0, it will signal the "late stage".

ChainCatcher news, CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr tweeted that despite Bitcoin reaching a historic high, the BPT indicator remains at a moderate level of 2.56, below the previous local high of 3.57. At the same time, the Realized P&L Ratio remains at an average level, indicating that the current market state has relatively lower risk compared to previous overheating periods. Technically, the price remains above the 4-year moving average and its two standard deviations, confirming that the upward trend continues. Analysts point out that we need to be wary of the regular pullback risks in the rising trend, and a BP breakthrough at 3.0 may indicate that the market is entering the later stage.

Jin10 data on August 11 reported that as oil prices fell ahead of President Trump's talks with Russian President Putin, European oil stocks declined. Victoria Scholar, investment director at Interactive Investor, stated that this meeting may ultimately lead to the end of sanctions on Russian oil. On the London market, Shell's stock price fell by 0.5%, BP fell by 0.45%; France's TotalEnergies fell by 0.4%, Spain's Repsol fell by 0.7%, and Portugal's Galp Energia fell by 0.6%.

Jin10 reported on August 7 that the Bank of England has lowered the policy interest rate from 4.25% to 4%, marking the fifth rate cut in this round of easing, in line with market expectations.

BP has achieved its largest oil and gas discovery in Brazil's offshore deepwater area in 25 years, with a thickness of about 500 meters, marking a turning point in its performance. The company is seeking to establish a production hub in Brazil to further enhance its strength.

Jin10 data reports on June 26 that the stock price of British Petroleum rose on Wednesday due to reports that the oil giant is in preliminary talks for an acquisition by Shell. According to CNBC, sources say that Shell is unlikely to fully acquire British Petroleum. These sources indicate that if a deal is indeed reached, it is more likely that different business zones of British Petroleum will be acquired by multiple companies.

Jin10 Data, June 25 - According to informed sources, Shell is in early negotiations to acquire its rival BP, which would be the largest oil deal in decades. Negotiations between company representatives are actively underway, and BP is carefully considering this approach. The acquisition would give Shell a stronger foundation in challenging larger competitors like ExxonMobil and Chevron. BP is currently valued at approximately $80 billion, and considering the premium, this deal could ultimately become the largest oil company transaction since ExxonMobil's $83 billion mega-merger at the beginning of this century, and it will easily become the largest M&A deal of the year so far. Shell is in a favorable position in the negotiations, having significantly outperformed BP in stock price in recent years, with a market capitalization exceeding $200 billion.

Gate News bot message, Blum posted on X stating that the community-focused BLUM distribution and badges have now been revealed. Everything users do in Blum—BP, MP, referrals, trading, check-ins, tasks, etc.—will affect the Airdrop distribution. TGE and Airdrop claims are coming soon.

On June 5, traders cut bets on future interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank and no longer fully priced in expectations for another 25 basis points of rate cuts this year. Money markets were pricing in a further rate cut of just 23 basis points before December, compared to 32 basis points ahead of the ECB's interest rate decision on Thursday. Short-term bonds led the decline, with the two-year German bunds yield rising as much as 7 basis points to 1.87%. Earlier, ECB President Christine Lagarde said that the central bank's interest rate cut cycle is nearing its end.

Jin10 data May 20th, the Reserve Bank of Australia lowered the Benchmark Interest Rate by 25 basis points to 3.85%, in line with market expectations.

BlockBeats news, on May 8, the Bank of England cut interest rates by 25 basis points, lowering the benchmark interest rate from 4.5% to 4.25%, marking the fourth rate cut in this round of easing, in line with market expectations. (Jin10)

Shell is considering an acquisition of BP, but may wait to decide until after a fall in stock prices and oil prices. Shell's market capitalization is as high as £149 billion, which is double that of BP. A successful acquisition would make Shell a global energy supergiant, but it would face strict regulatory scrutiny. Shell may wait for bidders to act first, assessing the situation as a precaution.

Jin10 data reported on April 28 that multiple fund companies have received notifications from index companies regarding the reduction of index authorization fees. The reduction plan consists of three parts: first, the annual basis point rate is lowered. After the adjustment, the basis point rates for stock index ETFs and over-the-counter funds are 0.024% and 0.016%, respectively, while the basis point rates for bond index ETFs and over-the-counter funds are both 0.008%. The basis point rate for enhanced products is set at 80% of the corresponding product type. Second, the quarterly collection minimum is lowered; for those with a quarterly collection minimum exceeding 20,000 yuan, it is uniformly reduced to 20,000 yuan. Third, for other types of indices (bond index, interbank certificate index, public sale fund index, multi-asset index, etc.) and stock index products with a quarterly average net asset value of less than 100 million yuan, there is no quarterly collection minimum, and the actual amount collected is based on the basis point rate. Before this reduction, the index usage fee was generally 3 BP, and after the reduction, the index usage fee is generally set at 80%.

WeBank will adjust the personal deposit interest rates, with the annual interest rates for 5-year, 3-year, 2-year, and 1-year deposits uniformly set at 1.60%, down by 40 BP to 1.40% compared to before, approaching the level of state-owned banks, and some even lower than joint-stock banks.

Zhongxin fluorine materials have recently involved in the PEEK concept plate, the company has passed DFBP as the key raw material, has an annual production capacity of 5,000 tons, some customers have certified and started to use, and some customers are testing. Future sales are affected by market demand, pricing, quality and other factors, and there is great uncertainty about the company's performance.

Jin10 data on April 7 reported that UBS stated in a report that global tariff models estimate that global economic growth could be dragged down by 50 to 100 basis points. UBS said, "The situation in Asia may be worse, as tariff rates are higher and the exposure to exports to the United States is also greater." UBS further stated, "We estimate that the biggest drag on growth is likely to be Thailand/Singapore (100-120 basis points), followed by Malaysia (60-80 basis points), and then Indonesia and the Philippines (30 basis points)."

Goldman Sachs has adjusted its expectations for interest rate cuts by The Federal Reserve (FED), believing that the likelihood of an economic recession has increased. It is expected that the FED will begin a series of rate cuts in June, cutting three consecutive times by 25 basis points each, down to 3.5%-3.75%. If the recession is severe, there could be a 200 basis point cut next year. Goldman Sachs predicts a total cut of 130 basis points by 2025. Market expectations are largely consistent with Goldman Sachs' previous weighted forecasts.

According to the Gate.io News bot, data from DappRadar shows that the launcher Blum Memepad of the TON application Blum set multiple historical highs on April 3. On that day, the number of independent active addresses reached 9.87k, the number of transactions reached 12.8k, and the volume reached 1.29 million USD, marking the highest level in over a month. DappRadar data indicates that the number of active addresses for Blum Memepad accounts for over 10% of the total TON. Previously, Blum, which received investment from YZi Labs, announced plans for an airdrop during Q2-Q3. Users must meet three conditions to qualify for the airdrop: a minimum of 100k BP, a minimum of 750 MP or completed PoA, and at least 2 referrals. Currently, no snapshot has been taken. Source: Wu Shuo

On March 20, Jinshi Data reported that on Wednesday local time, the Central Bank of Brazil raised interest rates by 100 basis points for the third consecutive time to 14.25%, the highest since 2016, in line with expectations, and the rate decision was unanimously approved. The Central Bank of Brazil maintains its previous forward guidance and indicated that the rate hike will be smaller at the next policy meeting as it is monitoring signs of economic slowdown.

British Petroleum is changing its strategy under pressure from activist investor Elliott Management, abandoning its renewable energy plan to invest $10 billion annually in oil and gas production, cutting renewable energy spending, selling $20 billion in assets to boost stock prices. The CEO said the capital would be reallocated to drive rise and cost efficiency.

On January 29, 2025, the first Intrerest Rate resolution was announced. The Central Bank of Canada lowered the interest rate by 25 BP to 3.00%, which is in line with market expectations and marks the sixth consecutive rate cut at a meeting. The previous two meetings both cut interest rates by 50 BP.

Enquest CEO of BP said that the windfall tax imposed by the UK on energy companies is causing damage to the energy industry. About six companies have left or decided to leave the UK, slowing down investment and causing the energy industry to stagnate. Despite increasing investments in Asia, the company still sees value in being listed in London.

Jinshi data, December 12 news, Citigroup released a report, indicating that the severity of South Korea's economic sentiment deterioration is more serious than expected this month, and slightly lowered the GDP forecast for South Korea for the next two years by 0.1 percentage points to 2.1% and 1.5% respectively. The bank slightly lowered the GDPrise forecast for the end of this year in South Korea by 0.1 percentage point, to a quarterly rise of 0.3%, while raising next year's first quarter GDPrise forecast by 0.1 percentage point, to a quarterly rise of 0.6%. Looking ahead to the first quarter of next year, the bank expects South Korea to adopt an expansionary policy combination, including the Central Bank of South Korea reducing interest rates to 2.75% in mid-January, and the government proposing an additional budget of 30 trillion won (equivalent to about 1.1% of next year's GDP). The bank expects the Central Bank of South Korea to cut interest rates by 25 BP in January, April, July, and October next year, with the final Intrerest Rate expected to be 2%.

Jinshi data on December 9th, implemented a moderate easing monetary policy for the first time in 14 years. Zhang Jun believes that the Central Bank will take greater efforts to cut interest rates and reserve requirements, with a total policy interest rate reduction of 40-60 basis points (BP) throughout the year, guiding the 5-year LPR down by 60-100 BP. The total reserve requirement reduction may reach 150-250 BP throughout the year.

Fed Chairman Powell said the economy is performing strongly and policymakers should be more cautious in cutting interest rates, trying to find a neutral stance. This is in line with more cautious policymakers and echoes the view that the Fed can "carefully" consider rate cuts without acting hastily. Powell's comments did not change the expectation of another 25 BP rate cut in December.

On November 5th, according to CME's 'Fed Watch', the probability of the Fed lowering the interest rate by 25 basis points in November is 98%, and the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 2%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate in December is 0.3%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 17.9%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 81.7%.

US PPI and CPI rising support the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next month. Forecasts indicate that core PCE will rise 0.21% month-on-month in September, and 12-month PCE will fall to 2.6%, which will prompt the Fed to continue cutting rates.

BP expects net debt to rise in the third quarter, with a decline in refining business expected to reduce company profits by $4 billion to $6 billion. The total proceeds from asset divestments in the second half of the year will be $20 billion to $30 billion, exacerbating the softness in the oil industry in the third quarter. Doubts about the strength of demand and concerns that market plans to restore idle production capacity will lead to oversupply are the reasons for the weakness in the oil industry.

Jinshi Data October 10 report, according to CME's 'Fed Watch': The probability of the Fed lowering 25 basis points by November is 70.4%, and the probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged is 29.6%. The probability of cumulative interest rate cuts of 50 basis points by December is 65.3%, the probability of cumulative interest rate cuts of 75 basis points is 8.7%; the probability of cumulative interest rate cuts of 100 basis points is 0%.

Golden Finance reported that several Federal Reserve officials, including Powell, Collins, Cugler, Bauman, Williams, Ball, and Cook, will deliver speeches tonight. Previously, the Fed initiated an interest rate cut cycle of 50 BP, and the market has been pricing the remaining interest rate cuts for this year. As the first week after the Fed meeting, the officials' remarks tonight may clarify the market. At that time, the market may experience significant fluctuations, and investors are advised to pay attention to related risks. (Jinshi)

Jinshi Data News on September 26th, tonight, several officials of the Federal Reserve, including Powell, Collins, Kugler, Bauman, Williams, Barr and Cook, will give speeches successively. Earlier, the Federal Reserve opened an interest rate cut cycle with 50 BP, and the market continued to price the remaining interest rate cuts for this year. As the first week after the Federal Reserve meeting, the officials' remarks tonight may clarify the market. At that time, there may be significant fluctuations in the market, so investors are advised to pay attention to relevant risks.

Jinshi Data, September 20th: The Wall Street Journal commented on Powell's 50 BP rate cut: The Fed's goal is to repeat the masterpiece of former Fed Chairman Greenspan in the 1990s. The rate cut in 1995 laid the foundation for the subsequent soft landing of the U.S. economy and the prosperity of the late 1990s.

The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in September is 39.0%, and the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 61%; the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut by November is 23.4%, the probability of a cumulative 75 basis point rate cut is 52.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 100 basis point rate cut is 24.4%; the probability of a cumulative 75 basis point rate cut by December is 10.5%, the probability of a cumulative 100 basis point rate cut is 36.4%, the probability of a cumulative 125 basis point rate cut is 39.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 150 basis point rate cut is 13.4%.

September 12th, Jinshi data, after the continuous narrowing of the interest rate spread and the gradual decline in valuation of this year's urban investment bonds, the widening gap between the face value Intrerest Rate and the valuation has triggered a wave of downward adjustment of the face value Intrerest Rate of urban investment bonds, and the degree of downward pressure is increasing. Some urban investment bonds have had their face value Intrerest Rate reduced to 1% or even lower. In August, 21 urban investment bonds lowered their face value Intrerest Rate to the low level of 1%. A total of 145 urban investment bonds have reduced their face value Intrerest Rate, with a scale of over 100 billion yuan. The majority of the adjustment is above 100 BP, with 99.31% of the urban investment bonds having a downward adjustment of over 100 BP, an increase compared to the proportion of 93.67% in September.

On September 10th, Jin10 data reported that the treasury futures weakened in the afternoon, with the 30-year treasury futures main contract falling to 103.09 and the 10-year treasury futures main contract falling to 106.49. In terms of spot bonds, the yields of the 10-year and 7-year active bonds turned upward in the afternoon. The yield of the 10-year active bond 240011 rose by 0.25 BP to 2.1225%, while the yield of the 30-year active bond 2400004 fell to 2.2825%.

On August 2nd, Jinshi Data reported that due to concerns about a possible US economic recession, the market is increasingly betting on a US rate cut. The yield on US 2-year Treasury bonds continued to fall in the Asian morning session, falling to 4.11%, the lowest level since May 2023. As of press time, the Intrerest Rate futures show that the market is pricing in an 87 BP rate cut by the Fed this year, with a 13 BP gap remaining for the bet of four rate cuts this year. The probability of a 50 BP rate cut by the Fed in September has risen to 33%. There are still three Fed meetings this year to consider rate cuts.

Jin10 data on August 1st, the pound against the dollar maintained a falling trend, and British government bonds expanded their earlier gains, following the first interest rate cut of the current monetary policy cycle by the Central Bank. After the interest rate decision, the pound/dollar fell by 0.8% to 1.2755. The yield on the UK's 10-year government bond fell by 6 basis points to 3.91%; the 2-year yield fell by 7 basis points to 3.76%. The currency market has raised bets on a further interest rate cut by the Central Bank, and is now expected to cut rates by another 35 basis points within the year.

Jinshi data news on July 29, following China Merchants Bank and Ping An Bank, on July 29, CITIC Bank, Everbright Bank, Minsheng Bank, Pufa Bank, Industrial Bank, Huaxia Bank, Guangfa Bank, Zheshang Bank, Bohai Bank, Hengfeng Bank, 10 joint-stock banks lowered the deposit listing Intrerest Rate. Among them, the five-year period for Zheshang Bank, Bohai Bank, and Hengfeng Bank's whole deposit and withdrawal year Intrerest Rate was lowered from 2.30% to 2.10%, and the other seven banks' five-year period for whole deposit and withdrawal year Intrerest Rate was lowered from 2.05% to 1.85%, all lowered by 20 BP.

Animoca Brand announced that Moca ID users can now participate in the BLOCKLORDS Dynasty game and receive incentives. Users need to link their Moca ID with their game account to complete the tasks and receive BP. The event will end at 12 a.m. UTC on August 5th.

On July 8, Jinshi data reported that the long-end bond yields generally rose by about 3 basis points (BP), with the 30-year national bond 230023 rising to 2.5225%; the special bond 2400001 rising to 2.54%; and the 10-year national bond 240004 rising to 2.3060%. The short-end bond yields rose by 5-7 basis points (BP), with the 1-year policy bank bond 230302 rising by 7 BP and the 1-year national bond 240009 rising by 6.5 BP to 1.58%.

Interest Rate bond yields rose more than 1 BP in early trading, with the yield on 10-year government bonds 240004 up 1.50 BP to 2.2950% and the yield on 30-year government bonds 230023 up 2.40 BP to 2.5150%.

On July 5th, Jinshi Data reported that the yields of treasury bonds rose across the board, with the yield of 10-year treasury bond 240004 up by 1.95 BP to 2.2800% and the yield of 30-year treasury bond 230023 up by 2.20 BP to 2.4875%.

On June 19th, Jinshi data reported that CICC research report stated that we believe that the purpose of this round of Fed interest rate cuts is to return interest rates to a neutral level, rather than because of economic recession. Based on this idea, we only need to calculate the degree to which financing costs need to be reduced to the return on investment, and then calculate the 10-year US Treasury bond points through the relationship between financing costs and long-term bond interest rates, and finally make the interest rate differential positive to infer the magnitude of the Fed's interest rate cut. We estimate that a 4% US bond can reach equilibrium, corresponding to a rate cut of 100 to 125 basis points.

On April 23, Britain's FTSE 100 index closed at a record high for the first time in long years, and the index has been buoyed by broader optimism in recent months from energy-related stocks and easing geopolitical concerns. Britain's FTSE 100 index closed pump 1.6% at 8,023.87 points on Monday, breaking through the closing peak of 8,014.31 points set in February 2023. Still below the intraday high of 8047.06, the index is up about 4% year-to-date pump, with Shell and BP Plc alone contributing nearly half of the pump. AstraZeneca, HSBC Holdings and engine maker Rolls-Royce also contributed to the pump. Axel Rudolph, senior market analyst at IG, said: "The depreciation of the pound has made it cheaper for international investors to buy UK equities, which, combined with the de-escalation in the Middle East, has pushed the FTSE 100 towards record highs. ”