On June 17, 2025, the governance Token SPK of the Spark Protocol, developed by the core team of MakerDAO, officially launched on the Gate Alpha trading area. As a new force in DeFi positioned as an “on-chain capital allocation platform”, Spark manages a capital scale of up to $3.95 billion, covering three major fields: DeFi, CeFi, and RWA (real-world assets). Its core mechanism lies in algorithmically adjusting asset allocation in real-time, enhancing capital efficiency while controlling risks. However, just a few hours after its launch, the price of SPK encountered a cliff-like drop, plummeting from its historic high of $0.1774 to $0.03968, a decline of over 70%, attracting widespread attention from the market.
SPK Launch Performance: High Opening, Low Closing, Airdrop Selling Pressure as Main Reason
The debut of SPK can be described as “a coexistence of highlights and shadows”:
- Initial Performance: On June 17, the opening benchmark price was approximately $0.073, briefly surged to $0.075, and at one point ranked second on CoinGecko’s trending list.
- Rapid Collapse: Within a few hours afterward, the price plummeted over 60%, reaching a low of $0.03968 (data from June 21). As of June 23, its price hovered around $0.0467, with a market cap of $456 million, and a 7-day decline of 67.69%.
The core reason for the plunge points to concentrated selling from airdrops:
- The initial circulation was only 1.7 billion (total supply of 10 billion), but about 300 million SPK flooded into the market for cashing out shortly after the exchange listing;
- Platforms like Binance airdropped 200 million Tokens (accounting for 2% of total supply) to staking users, with most recipients choosing to take profits;
- Insufficient market depth, especially with new exchanges like Bybit having weak order books, exacerbating price volatility.
This phenomenon reveals the long-standing structural dilemma in the cryptocurrency market: airdrop incentives easily attract short-term arbitrageurs rather than genuine users of the protocol, leading to a repeated cycle of “farming and dumping.”
2025 Price Prediction: A Mix of Rebound and Cautious Optimism
Despite a rocky start, several institutions, combining Gate launch data and protocol fundamentals, have given a outlook for SPK’s 2025 trend that showcases both divergence and consensus.
Source |
Minimum price (USD) |
Average Price (USD) |
Highest Price (USD) |
Algorithm Dynamic Model Prediction |
0.073 |
0.0733 (after 30 days) |
0.0733 (+0.41%) |
Technical Analysis Prediction |
0.079186 |
0.082434 |
0.099084 |
Market Sentiment Model |
0.06 |
0.073 |
0.085 |
Key Variables Affecting SPK Price: Opportunities and Challenges
For investors, the SPK operation in 2025 must grasp a two-phase strategy:
- Mid-year observation period: Pay attention to the progress of airdrop sell-off digestion and the $0.05 support level, combined with activities on platforms like Gate (such as trading to share 720,000 SPK airdrop);
- Second half layout period: If protocol revenue (currently annualized at 172 million USD) and governance participation increase, it can be allocated during dips, with a target range of 0.08 - 0.09 USD.
Positive Support Factors
- Endorsement of Ecological Strength: Based on MakerDAO’s mature liquidation model and $3.95 billion asset management experience, the technical security has been recognized by the market;
- Strong Support from Exchanges: The Gate platform includes SPK in multiple product lines such as Earn, Margin, and Futures, enhancing liquidity and user base;
- Macroeconomic Environment Assistance: The expectation for a crypto bull market in 2025 is strong, with Bitcoin projected at $125,000 and Ethereum at $5,000. If this trend holds, it will drive the value discovery of emerging Tokens such as SPK.
Risks and Challenges
- Continued Airdrop Selling Pressure: The early inflationary tokenomics design may lead to ongoing sell-offs, especially with 8.3 billion tokens remaining to be released;
- Difficulties in Breaking Through the Competitive Red Sea: DeFi lending is Aave To lead, Spark needs to establish a differentiated advantage in RWA asset integration and interest rate optimization models.
Conclusion: Value Reconstruction Amidst Volatility, Long-term Ecological Implementation
The turbulent start of SPK confirms the classic dilemma faced by emerging DeFi tokens: the chasm between technological vision and market speculation. Short-term price recovery relies on genuine growth signals from the protocol—such as TVL climbing to the billion-dollar level, cross-chain routing implementation, or institutional-level RWA asset integration.
Author:
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